RBI at the IMF and EM Bankruptcy risk

Published: Wed, 03/23/16

Image
Hello

​This is a great insight into monetary policy and its impact on the economy. Clearly monetary policy itself is not a cause for growth, Structural reforms are key. India has managed volatility and moved towards attracting long term investment flows rather than short term alone to creating stability.
The question in my mind then is have we chose a low growth and low interest rates path ahead as the way. Because high growth comes at the cost of high inflation. Is it back to the Hindu rate of growth. In the meantime we continue to consolidate our economy in terms of writing off excessive debt and face the risk of bankruptcies. See the second chart below the video from www.hedgeye.com that puts this in perspective in the EM context. Dealing with debt is clearly of primary importance before the positive effects of monetary policy on growth can be felt.
All said great video and insight by the RBI governor.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Rohit Srivastava
www.indiacharts.com
For accurate market forecasting. Market forecasting is a study of past data to assess
future probable outcomes. It is our endeavour to discuss high probability outcomes for
traders and investors. However this is not a solicitation to buy or sell stocks futures or
options or any security. Trading in any financial market should be done with sound
knowledge and the help of a qualified investment adviser. Stocks based on the Elliott
wave model are based on the Fibonacci fractal of the market and momentum indicators,
Price levels are based on Fibonacci maths and are only indicative of what the mathematical
model throws up. We may hold positions in the stocks/markets discussed and are
interested in the views and opinions expressed. This is not a recommendation to buy/sell.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~